24 hours ago my buddy Oleg (twitter employee) texted me and told me to check out Vine. I downloaded it, posted a vine, and texted him back saying it’s stupid.
I change my mind about Vine. I was wrong to immediately pass it off as stupid. It’s an awesome app. Hell, I’ll even say that I love it. it’s the perfect logical next step for america’s snapchat obsessed youth. Facebook looks like a bunch of idiots for simply responding with their new poke app.
My only concern is: does it have staying power. I’m a bit worried that it won’t be able to catch on.
The two main chalenges that it faces:
1. I don’t want another feed to check, I already need to check Instagram, Facebook, Twitter, and foursquare every day, and I’m not sure that there is room for another one. Snapchat brilliantly avoids that problem by being a messaging platform and not a feed.
2. Will the network be able to grow. Vine is completely useless if only my tech savy (read: SF and CMU) friends use it. I need the normal people on it too for it to be indispensable (the people that live outside the bay area and didn’t go to an engineering centric school). One of the reasons I knew snapchat was going to be so big is that the first place I heard about it was from my 19 year old sister who goes to a state school. Not an SF clown, not hackernews, my sister.
I think Path was in the exact same position when they came out with their new app. Path had the slickest app with original and useful use cases, but I needed to check a new feed, and I my normal friends didn’t use it. Path has essentially failed to take off as I hoped because of those reasons. Only time will tell if Vine will suffer the same fate.
This analyst is basically arguing that you should sell apple stock because, html5 apps are going to take off, making apples awesome iOS app store less relevant.
I actually totally agree with this, html5 is the future and making a custom app for each mobile OS will become very archaic. The problem I have with his argument is his time scale. He claims that the repercussions of this movement from native apps to html5 is going to take place in the next 2 quarters. THAT’S INSANE! Yes I hate trying to write objective-c, and yes I think html5 is the future, but it’s a future that is at least 3 years away, if not longer. For at least the next 3 years, native apps are going to fully dominate the mobile landscape.
Although the potential for html5 web based mobile apps is awesome, it’s just not going to do it for right now. My reason for this is purely based on the present day capabilities of web based mobile apps, the problem with them being is that they can’t access enough of the phones hardware sensors at this time.
Let’s not sell them short though, for some web apps they are just as capable as their native app counterparts. I’ve seen web apps that can store huge amounts of background data, use location, and even access a phones accelerometer.
Another huge problem with this prediction is that web developers don’t use all of these features. For html5 to have any chance developers need to better utilize a phones capabilities. While phones can store data from a website, most of them don’t thus making the user wait for around 10 extra seconds just to get onto the web site. This is nonsense! The Financial Times does an awesome job at demonstrating how this can be done (the reading experience still can’t compare to that being done in the native app Flipboard, but maybe someday).
Most importantly, the two hardware features of phones that html5 apps need to find a way to access in order for them to succeed are being able to use a camera and being able to access a phones background processing so that they can run in the background (thus enabling them to send notifications). Once these two problems have been solved, I think that the usage of mobile web apps will explode.
Pressing play in @Spotify for iPhone and then having my desktop client pause is so gratifying. I wonder if this was planned as a feature or if it was conceived in order to prevent multiple people from sharing a single account.
I originally sent this as an email to one of my friends who just started using path, but I thought I’d share my love of path with the world:
just incase you didn’t read up on why they created path. The idea is that you’re friends with everyone that you’ve ever met ever on facebook, and this isn’t good because you don’t actually care about all 1000 of these people. This theory is based on dunbar’s number, which basically says that humans don’t have the mental compactly to keep track of over 150 relationships (basically it’s unfathomable that you could truly trust 150 people). I find this concept really interesting which is why I’m so passionate about path. also I think it has huge potential since my facebook and twitter feeds are just becoming way too overwhelming, and this attempts to find a solution to that.
I’ve been talking to lots of my friends lately about whether or not there is room for a fourth social network in our lives. In my circle of close friends we basically all check facebook, twitter, and foursquare in that order throughout the day.
While every consumer facing startup claims that they are going to create a new web service or mobile app that people will check and utilize every day I simply don’t know if people have the time or want to do so.
I personally have begun checking Quora and Tumblr just about every day but most of my friends simply don’t use these services. This means that if I’m particularly busy one day even I will forget to check them.
Beginning to realize that founding a successful consumer web company is like wanting to play in the NBA, with the exception that it seems easier at first.
The concept of New Years Resolutions is stupid. People shouldn’t be waiting till the end of the year to change their lives for the better. That’s just the same as waiting till the end of the semester to quit smoking by using the reasoning that you need to smoke because you are “stressed”.
Alternatively, people should constantly be looking for ways to help them reach their goals every day of the year, and should be implementing those changes immediately.